“It’s counter-intuitive to say that this isn’t a game changer, but I don’t think it is,” said Tina Fordham of Fordham Global Foresight. “It’s more data point in a consolidating strengthening trend for Trump.” She added that to truly change an election, shocks generally need to happen much later in the process; there’s a reason why the phrase “October Surprise” is in the political lexicon.