July 15, 2024

“The shooting further complicates the election outlook for Democrats, already divided over Biden’s future as a candidate.” “U.S. political violence is sadly a feature and not a bug. … The question now is how a nation, in which a significant proportion of citizens believe civil war is increasingly likely, will respond.” “We don’t expect there […]

“The risk temperature is too high and there are too many wild cards to assume linear trend lines.” Tina Fordham

“It’s counter-intuitive to say that this isn’t a game changer, but I don’t think it is,” said Tina Fordham of Fordham Global Foresight. “It’s more data point in a consolidating strengthening trend for Trump.” She added that to truly change an election, shocks generally need to happen much later in the process; there’s a reason